Sector
Investing
- A Better Way
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud Chairman, Investment U ( 07/18/05 )
In his current business bestseller The Bull Hunter, my good friend Dan
Denning calls ETFs "Precision-Guided Investments." Dan raves about the
benefits of ETFs in his book... "Imagine a single security that allows
you to buy an entire sector or industry or even country - in just one
stock. ETFs are a cross between individual stocks and index mutual funds,
and they offer the best of both worlds..."
I agree with Dan, but I've been frustrated with some of the opportunities
available in ETFs... until now... Three weeks ago, a handful of "PowerShares"
sector ETFs were introduced. These things are fairly revolutionary in
the ETF market, and I'm excited about them. If Dan liked ETFs before,
then he'll really like PowerShares.
Let me explain... Better Than ETFs? I Think So... The traditional ETF
(or exchange-traded fund) is, as Dan described, a single investment
that allows you to hold an entire sector (like the energy sector, for
example) in just one stock. ETFs are like a mutual fund, in that they
hold a basket of stocks with a similar theme (energy stocks, for example).
And they're generally most like index funds, in the sense that they
just hold a fixed portfolio of companies in that theme. Lastly, and
importantly, ETFs generally hold the stocks in proportion to the size
each stock makes up in its sector. To me, this is where the problem
comes in...
Exxon and Chevron, for example, make up nearly half of the iShares Energy
Sector ETF. So are you really holding a basket of stocks representative
of the energy sector? NO... It just so happens that Exxon and Chevron
are so huge, based on their market value, they're the industry giants.
So if you buy the iShares Energy Sector ETF, you're not getting diversification
in energy stocks... you're really just buying Exxon and Chevron.
If I want a basket of 30 or so energy stocks, I want all 30 of them
to contribute to the performance of my portfolio. However, in the case
of the iShares Energy Sector ETF, if Exxon and Chevron lose half their
value, I'm bound to lose a lot of money no matter how the other 28 stocks
perform.
Why Some ETFs Are a Real Scam To me, the whole point of ETFs is to get
broad exposure to a sector (like 30 stocks) in just one buy... all with
low fees, easy trading (just like a stock) and tax benefits. While the
low fees, easy trading, and tax benefits are definitely there, the broad
diversification promised by ETFs is a bit of a scam in some cases...
Take the semiconductor ETF with the symbol SMH - Intel and Texas Instruments
make up nearly half of this ETF. Like the Energy ETF above, by buying
SMH you're not buying a basket of semiconductor stocks. You're really
just buying Intel and Texas Instruments, as their performance is going
to make up most of the performance of this ETF. As far as diversification
goes with this ETF, it's a sham.
The worst offender might be the ETF with the symbol BBH. BBH is a biotech
ETF where two-thirds of the ETF is made up of just two stocks - Genentech
and Amgen. That's terrible... When you buy BBH, you're not getting a
diversified portfolio of biotechs. You're really just buying these two
stocks.
The "promise" of ETFs is: diversified exposure to an entire sector in
just one stock. I don't know how these ETFs above went so wrong. But
a relatively new ETF manager, PowerShares, seems to have gotten it right...
Broad Exposure, Dropping the Losers, and Other Advantages It seems to
me that PowerShares actually started out by asking, "What would the
customer want?"
As the customer, I want broad exposure to a sector (maybe 30 stocks).
Don't mess with it too much, please. But if you must mess with it, please
kick out the "dogs" every once in a while, and don't just passively
sit by and watch them go to zero.
And please don't load up on overpriced stocks simply because the market
value of these stocks has gone up. I don't want the fund to buy more
and more of what's already become super-expensive.
PowerShares fulfill both of these objectives... Each PowerShares sector
ETF actually contains 30 stocks. And most importantly to me, no stock
can make up more than 5% of the portfolio. So the biotech PowerShares,
for example, couldn't possibly have two stocks make up two-thirds of
the assets. Simple stuff. But great stuff.
Thankfully, the dogs can also be kicked out... stocks that appear attractive
(based on quantitative measures) can be let in... and the super-expensive
stocks will still never make it to more than 5% of the portfolio. That's
because instead of holding a fixed portfolio, the PowerShares portfolio
changes quarterly based on dynamic underlying indexes, called "Intellidexes."
The Bottom Line on PowerShares Let me get to my bottom line here...
PowerShares allow me to invest in sectors the way I want... where all
30 stocks in the fund actually affect the performance. If I want to
buy biotech, I don't want to own Amgen and Genentech. I want to own
the 28 other stocks that have bigger upside potential than the two giants.
I don't want to own BBH... I want the biotech PowerShares.
Also, the fact that the PowerShares portfolio changes quarterly is actually
attractive to me... it's a way to kick the dogs out of a portfolio early
on, instead of waiting for some stuffed-shirt committee to finally (and
arbitrarily) decide to kick a dog out.
My friend Dan, if you like ETFs, I think you'll love PowerShares. And
so should anyone else looking for truly broad exposure to a sector.
Check 'em out at http://www.powershares.com.