I have observed too many funds that
have steadily moved Up for an extended period of time, only to suddenly
loose 33% or more of their total value in a single day.
To avoid this situation, the hourly
30 day Standard Deviation is computed for each Sector.
If there is sudden and major downdraft in a well defined trending Sector,
I will sell it whenever the the percentage drop exceeds two times it's
standard deviation.
As an example I sold Automotive
and Home-Finance the hour their large percentage drop was posted.
Please refer to the Home-Finance
chart.